Comparison between Double and Triple Exponential Smoothing Methods for Forecasting Poverty Rate of Yahukimo Regency in 2025-2030

نویسندگان

چکیده

Currently, the government faces so many issues, one of which is poverty. However, it not a new thing since other countries also face this classic issue. Poverty, from an economic point view, measured by people's inability to meet basic needs for food, food in terms expenditure. Based on data released Central Statistics Agency (BPS) regarding poverty rates Indonesia, several areas are included highest including East Nusa Tenggara, Maluku, Gorontalo and Papua. The region 21.21%, 17.99%, 15.99%, respectively. In regard, Papua has rate three provinces. According BPS, poorest districts Province 2017 Deiyai Regency at 43.63%, Intan Jaya 42.23% Yahukimo 39.33%. This study aimed predict district 2025-2030. research employed Double Triple Exponential Smoothing methods. It used secondary data, namely related percent (%) 2003-2019. results showed that 2025-2030 were 36.48%, 36.09%, 35.7%, 35.31%, 34.92% 34.53% words, had decreased compared previous years.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Jurnal Sains Dasar

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2085-9872', '2443-1273']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21831/jsd.v11i2.53345